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Future Value of Retrobirds

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  • #31
    Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

    Rick, This is what I found for August 2013.
    http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/...ugust/2761341/
    The average transaction price for a new vehicle set a record of $31,252 in August, according to TrueCar.com, up 3.2% from a year ago.
    The new high is up 0.5%, or $164, from July, the auto data research and shopping site reports.
    The record was powered by five car companies that each had record prices in the month: Chrysler, Ford, Honda, Nissan and Volkswagen.
    TrueCar's transaction price is meant to include everything – price of the vehicle, discounts, add-ons, taxes and license fees – all the amounts that total to the out-the-door price.
    "Historically low interest rates as well as very attractive lease specials fueled by high resale values are enabling consumers to buy more expensive vehicles while still keeping payments at affordable levels," said Jesse Toprak, senior analyst for TrueCar.
    "It's good day at the office for the manufacturers when the sales continue to grow double digits while transaction prices reach record highs."
    The Hyundai Group – Hyundai and Kia brands combined – fared worst among the majors, down 4.2% from a year earlier, to an average $22,418, and off 0.2% form July.
    Auto researcher Kelley Blue Book says the estimated average transaction price in the U.S. is up nearly 1% from this time last year.
    It says the average is even higher than TrueCar's number: $31,657. Kelley data show, however, that is a drop of $138 from last month, though up $221 from a year ago.
    Kelley data show that Chrysler and Honda show the greatest year-over-year strength, while Volkswagen dropped more than 7% since August 2012 on its aging lineup.


    LAPHIL
    My opinion hasn't really changed Jay, I was just commenting on what nearly half the people who have voted on this poll think ... that is, Retro values will be lower in ten years than they are now. And my comment about the stock market was just a response to Harry's comment that he thinks the stock market will return (or has returned) 60% or more in ten years.

    I'm still kind of surprised that for people who say they don't care what these cars are worth in the future, they sure do spend a lot of time talking about it.
    Phil, The market averages better than 6% a year. Its like the casino's odds, they don't win every bet but by staying in the game, the odds work and they always make money. And my comment was to point out the error of thinking a car would go up in value 60% in 10 years with LOW inflation.

    We spend a lot of time talking about the worth of our cars? Can you find a discussion about it that you didn't initiate?
    Quickdraw
    Raccoon Lodge Administrator

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    • #32
      Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

      Originally posted by LA PHIL View Post
      Kind of like the prospects of the Chicago Cubs winning a World Series title. Over a hundred years now, but fans still pack Wrigley Field, year in and year out.

      2015, baby, 2015, according to the October 22, 2015 USA Today in "Back to the Future"!!! Fans pack Wrigley Field because it's one of the most fun places in America to watch a game. Doesn't matter how the team does, but 2015 really does look like it could be a good year for the Cubbies

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      • #33
        Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

        Well Harry, sometimes I think you just enjoy taking a contrary position to anything I post.

        I've pretty much stayed away from the 'Stock Market 2014' thread because no matter what I posted you felt the need to try to prove me wrong.

        Now you're scrutinizing, analyzing and correcting even my projections and estimates on this thread, parsing and dissecting references I made to estimates of averages, projections and hypotheticals. The 60% return in ten years for the stock market was based on your post: "The only place you'll find 60% increase over ten years is the stock market."

        As for having initiated EVERY discussion about the value of Retrobirds, I think you're wrong. And I'm not going to go back and research every thread to verify it. You can do it if you want to. Even if I had started every discussion about Retro values, no one is obligated to join the discussion. If people do join a thread by adding a post, the presumption is that they have some interest in the topic. Challenging someone for starting a thread that others post to is perverse.

        There have been a number of threads about the 'Bisons' football team. I have no interest in that subject so I don't post to it.

        All the data about the 'average' car price in response to Rick's simple question seems like 'overkill.' The subject of this poll is simply what members think the direction of future Retro values is.

        This is just a poll about future values of the 2002-2005 Thunderbird. It's not political, it's not religious, and I don't think it's in any way offensive. It certainly wasn't mean to be contentious or to create debates, disagreements, foment ill will or incite truculence on unrelated issues.

        It's a poll. Follow it, vote on it, don't vote on it, post to it, read posts, ignore posts, whatever you like, but please refrain from trying to make this personal by challenging every opinion I have. They're just opinions. It's not gospel and I'm not forcing them on anyone. I respect your opinion and I'm not trying to change it. Please respect my opinion and those of others, which are equally valid.

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        • #34
          Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

          Hope everyone tries to get along and quite the bickering or I'll have to close this thread.
          They are Here. Scotty, beam me up!
          IT'S 5 O'CLOCK SOMEWHERE
          Visit the TBN Store

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          • #35
            Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

            Just let them beat the keyboards. Anyone who buys a car as a long term investment is just foolish. Just drive them and enjoy, that is worth more than anything else you can get from a car.
            02 Nieman Marcus-SS htp-f/sil. #165 - 21 states-DC
            02 TB-TB htp-p/blue acc.-Nancy Gioia-28 states-DC
            03 007-Coral htp-f/white acc. #468 7 states
            03 WW-WW htp-p/red 8 states
            04 VMG-VMG htp-p/white - 20 states-DC
            04 Merlot- Merlot htp-sand- B. Grassnig-48 states-DC
            04 TR-TR htp-blk 20 states-DC
            04 LIB-LIB htp-p/white 16 states-DC
            05 Cashmere htp-stone #408 21 states-DC
            05 Dusk Rose-DR htp-cashmere seats - 48&DC
            05 IG-IG htp-p/white #82
            - 48&DC

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            • #36
              Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

              Originally posted by Ray View Post
              2015, baby, 2015, according to the October 22, 2015 USA Today in "Back to the Future"!!! Fans pack Wrigley Field because it's one of the most fun places in America to watch a game. Doesn't matter how the team does, but 2015 really does look like it could be a good year for the Cubbies
              I wish those Cubbies well, Ray. Hope springs eternally, that's why they play the games.

              As for future value, I have no clue. That's why I didn't vote.

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              • #37
                Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

                Here is my Bubba math:
                Assuming that Vintage Merlot is in excellent condition and today has a 2014 value of $19,000. I predict that in 10 years it can easily appreciate in value by 20% if the condition of the car holds and it is painstakingly maintained...It is not unrealistic that it could sell in 2024 for $22,800. In my opinion it's a no-brainer.

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                • #38
                  Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

                  it's a no-brainer.
                  I agree !!

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                  • #39
                    Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

                    Originally posted by Leroy View Post
                    The cars that will bring the highest prices in the future are the ones that are kept original and well cared for. When you add after market junk and make mods to your car, you are taking away from the value in the future. These cars have the potential to be classic cars because of their rarity. As far as featured cars go, I think the NM is the only featured car that will be a collectors item, because of the low numbers built and the first ones built. The other featured cars were over produced, in my opinion, to be of any greater value. Just my opinion.

                    \ \ \ \ \____________________________________
                    Lawrence, I respectfully disagree with your opinion that mods lower the value of our Retrobird, or any car for that matter. It may be surprising, but mods may be appreciated by others and trigger the interest of buyers, even increasing the price. Not everyone purchases used cars based on pure originality.

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                    • #40
                      Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

                      Obviously I agree.

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                      • #41
                        Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

                        Originally posted by Vintage Merlot View Post
                        Obviously I agree.

                        As do I!

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                        • #42
                          Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

                          I agree as well. Mods have increased the value to ME! As to anyone reading my posts about the Bison, I'm aware that the smaller schools don't garner the interest of the bigger schools..but it is my school...GO BISON !!
                          Last edited by BLACK BEAUTY; Dec 23, 2014, 07:34 AM.

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                          • #43
                            Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

                            Originally posted by LA PHIL View Post
                            Well Harry, sometimes I think you just enjoy taking a contrary position to anything I post.

                            I've pretty much stayed away from the 'Stock Market 2014' thread because no matter what I posted you felt the need to try to prove me wrong.

                            Now you're scrutinizing, analyzing and correcting even my projections and estimates on this thread, parsing and dissecting references I made to estimates of averages, projections and hypotheticals. The 60% return in ten years for the stock market was based on your post: "The only place you'll find 60% increase over ten years is the stock market."

                            As for having initiated EVERY discussion about the value of Retrobirds, I think you're wrong. And I'm not going to go back and research every thread to verify it. You can do it if you want to. Even if I had started every discussion about Retro values, no one is obligated to join the discussion. If people do join a thread by adding a post, the presumption is that they have some interest in the topic. Challenging someone for starting a thread that others post to is perverse.

                            There have been a number of threads about the 'Bisons' football team. I have no interest in that subject so I don't post to it.

                            All the data about the 'average' car price in response to Rick's simple question seems like 'overkill.' The subject of this poll is simply what members think the direction of future Retro values is.

                            This is just a poll about future values of the 2002-2005 Thunderbird. It's not political, it's not religious, and I don't think it's in any way offensive. It certainly wasn't mean to be contentious or to create debates, disagreements, foment ill will or incite truculence on unrelated issues.

                            It's a poll. Follow it, vote on it, don't vote on it, post to it, read posts, ignore posts, whatever you like, but please refrain from trying to make this personal by challenging every opinion I have. They're just opinions. It's not gospel and I'm not forcing them on anyone. I respect your opinion and I'm not trying to change it. Please respect my opinion and those of others, which are equally valid.
                            .
                            .
                            Nice over reaction!
                            Quickdraw
                            Raccoon Lodge Administrator

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              Future Value of Retrobirds

                              It will always be the same no matter how you look at it respect is the key weather you are talking about a car or a person, its how you carry yourself, wether it be your car or yourself a direct comparison will and can be made. You cannot say an average car because there is no such thing but what you can say is does this car have curb appeal if the answer is yes to you than its worth whatever you are willing to pay, or sell it for, if the right buyer or seller are fortunate enough to get together. This could take time. So seeing that everyone's opinion on what they like is different wether your car is modded or not I would say its a personal choice there is no argument I myself like to modify but keep all original parts therefor reversals are possible. One thing we all have in common is that we all own a peace of modern history that someday will be history and we all fit into the category of loving this car. Enjoy hope to meet some of my other like minded Thunderbird owners this summer as I plan a trip to Cape Cod again this summer.

                              Thanks
                              Tweet-T

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                              • #45
                                Re: Future Value of Retrobirds

                                "Does the car have curb appeal? if the answer is yes to you then its worth whatever you are willing to pay, or sell it for, if the right buyer or seller are fortunate enough to get together".

                                Mike your perspective has cut through all the voodoo philosophies concerning the future speculation about Retro Bird value.

                                Simply put:
                                IMHO, the Retro Bird's future value will be all about "curb appeal" and not the divergent views of the people who currently drive them.

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